Study of the May 2016 seismic swarm at Guadalajara, Jalisco, Mexico

Abstract

The Metropolitan Zone of Guadalajara (MZG) is the second city of Mexico. This is a region with a high seismic hazard because there are historical reports of both large earthquakes and local seismic swarms. For this reason, it is important to evaluate and identify seismogenic structures that exist in the area. In order to assess the seismic hazard that this structures can represent both the population of the MZG and the facilities of the Geothermal Plant at Cerritos Colorados in La Primavera. In December of 2015 and in May of 2016 two seismic swarms occurred that affected the MZG. The May 2016 swarm was recorded by all stations of the Jalisco Telemetric Seismic and Accelerometric Network (RESAJ), preliminary locations estimated by the Antelope automatic system show an alignment of the earthquakes with an N-S trend west of the ZMG. The earthquakes were relocated, for which the phases were read and the Hypo71 program and a regional velocities model was used. The results allow us to observe two N-S alignments to the west of the MZG, the westernmost of which crosses La Caldera de la Primavera. The focal mechanisms of the earthquakes were calculated using the MecFor program with the Hypo71 outputs as input data. Most of the obtained mechanisms are mechanisms of normal fault with direction parallel to the alignments, suggesting the existence of two active faults that define a graben (graben of Zapopan). The lengths of these faults are 16 and 28 km indicating that they could generate earthquakes with magnitude 6.2 and 6.5, these earthquakes could cause great destruction in the MZG.